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Red69
13078.1
111914.3
632842.6
Blue67
107312.1
395812.6
115330.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68510204060801001201406967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.6
38.939.5
Auto17.0
Teleop20.7
End4.9
red by 12.5
30.10.9
25.926.8
Auto12.6
Teleop14.2
End3.3
Second
1119
#26
14.30.6
14.515.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 1.7
3958
#30
12.60.9
10.811.7
Auto8.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Third
1307
#32
8.10.6
6.47.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.4
blue by 4.1
1073
#18
12.11.2
11.712.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed