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Red68
3489.8
97298.6
115330.1
Blue36
76749.5
237021.6
59028.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494302060801006836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.0
27.528.5
Auto12.6
Teleop14.2
End3.3
red by 8.5
2370
#17
21.60.2
21.321.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Second
348
#16
9.81.0
8.39.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 0.3
7674
#29
9.50.3
9.89.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Third
9729
#28
8.61.1
7.58.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 0.1
5902
#27
8.70.3
8.58.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed