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Red66
127717.8
944323.9
208414.5
Blue70
632842.6
18314.9
107312.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386120801006670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.9
15.017.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 18.6
42.61.1
29.530.6
Auto17.0
Teleop20.7
End4.9
Second
1277
#19
17.81.9
17.919.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End2.7
red by 5.7
1073
#18
12.11.9
14.816.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
2084
#14
14.53.2
4.17.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 9.6
1831
#34
4.91.9
8.410.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed