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Red83
944323.9
3489.8
237021.6
Blue69
15114.0
872420.6
454620.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6059405070808369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.6
23.624.2
Auto9.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 3.3
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Second
2370
#17
21.60.6
21.221.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
red by 1.5
4546
#10
20.10.3
19.720.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
348
#16
9.80.6
9.510.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 4.2
151
#20
14.00.3
13.714.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End0.6