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Red70
127717.8
208414.5
50915.4
Blue87
15114.0
872420.6
454620.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801001207087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#19
17.80.5
17.317.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End2.7
blue by 2.8
20.60.6
19.720.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Second
509
#12
15.40.5
14.915.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 4.7
4546
#10
20.10.6
19.219.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Third
2084
#14
14.50.5
14.014.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 0.5
151
#20
14.00.6
13.113.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End0.6