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Red81
46724.7
19016.5
7825.6
Blue84
862610.6
115328.6
545920.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705902040801001201408184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
25.61.2
23.725.0
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 3.1
28.61.0
26.427.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Second
467
#6
24.71.2
22.824.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 4.3
5459
#17
20.51.0
19.920.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Third
190
#21
16.51.2
15.917.2
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.8
red by 5.9
8626
#25
10.61.0
8.59.5
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed