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Red69
46724.7
490919.5
242312.9
Blue89
23819.8
5822.4
279116.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6345020801001201406989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#6
24.70.3
24.124.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 2.3
58
#26
22.40.9
17.017.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Second
4909
#14
19.50.3
18.919.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 0.3
238
#8
19.80.9
14.415.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
2423
#16
12.90.3
12.312.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 3.6
2791
#20
16.50.9
11.112.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8