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Red44
944317.4
24615.5
545920.5
Blue64
46724.7
490919.5
596212.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596230405070804464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5459
#17
20.50.2
20.720.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
blue by 4.3
467
#6
24.70.1
24.424.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
9443
#15
17.40.2
17.717.4
Auto8.8
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 2.1
4909
#14
19.50.1
19.219.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
246
#11
15.50.2
15.715.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
red by 3.1
5962
#28
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End-0.7