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Red81
99930.1
971013.5
740730.6
Blue44
174029.2
21709.4
83917.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7248204060801001208144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.6
26.226.7
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
red by 1.4
29.20.5
24.023.4
Auto12.9
Teleop13.3
End3.0
Second
999
#15
30.10.6
27.428.0
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 12.6
839
#23
17.50.5
15.214.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Third
9710
#19
13.50.6
8.99.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
red by 4.1
2170
#26
9.40.5
7.57.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed