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Red70
23627.5
971013.5
514221.5
Blue61
740730.6
888920.6
19525.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567920401001201407061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#9
27.50.8
20.621.4
Auto9.8
Teleop8.0
End9.7
blue by 3.1
30.60.8
29.428.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Second
5142
#11
21.50.8
22.723.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
blue by 3.6
195
#14
25.20.8
18.217.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
9710
#19
13.50.8
9.910.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 7.1
8889
#30
20.60.8
20.820.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed