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Red48
549415.0
318220.5
672310.7
Blue73
715314.2
169936.3
109918.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5168204060801001204873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3182
#10
20.50.7
21.520.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
blue by 15.8
36.30.6
29.630.2
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
5494
#34
15.00.7
16.515.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 3.3
18.30.6
16.116.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Third
6723
#36
10.70.7
10.69.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 3.5
7153
#24
14.20.6
14.014.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned