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Red23
888920.6
365416.1
173513.2
Blue71
808526.4
740730.6
318220.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54912040801001201402371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8889
#30
20.62.0
19.617.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 9.9
30.60.5
30.930.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Second
3654
#33
16.12.0
17.315.3
Auto9.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 10.3
26.40.5
26.325.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
Third
1735
#25
13.22.0
16.214.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 7.3
3182
#10
20.50.5
20.820.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsEarned