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Red39
318220.5
514221.5
46725.9
Blue69
17320.9
109918.3
17731.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73744050607080903969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#21
25.91.9
23.621.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End2.9
blue by 5.5
177
#1
31.40.2
29.429.6
Auto12.3
Teleop17.9
End1.2
Second
5142
#11
21.51.9
23.121.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 0.6
173
#22
20.90.2
19.720.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Third
3182
#10
20.51.9
20.318.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
red by 2.1
18.30.2
16.817.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned