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Red95
22820.0
808526.4
174029.2
Blue62
888920.6
549415.0
83917.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845102040601001201409562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.9
28.829.6
Auto12.9
Teleop13.3
End3.0
red by 8.6
8889
#30
20.60.4
17.518.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
26.40.9
25.926.7
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
red by 8.9
839
#23
17.50.4
17.017.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Third
228
#31
20.00.9
17.618.4
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.8
red by 5.0
5494
#34
15.00.4
15.816.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed