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Red47
10279.0
365416.1
549415.0
Blue58
173513.2
15520.9
514221.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3963020801004758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#33
16.10.6
15.516.1
Auto9.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 5.4
5142
#11
21.50.2
20.620.9
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Second
5494
#34
15.00.6
14.515.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 5.9
155
#12
20.90.2
20.720.9
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
1027
#35
9.00.6
8.39.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End0.2
blue by 4.2
1735
#25
13.20.2
12.913.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned