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Red63
17816.4
31923.9
971013.5
Blue87
55824.5
888920.6
23627.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498002040601001206387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#20
23.91.0
20.021.0
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2
blue by 3.6
236
#9
27.51.1
26.427.5
Auto9.8
Teleop8.0
End9.7
Second
178
#28
16.41.0
15.416.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End2.3
blue by 8.1
558
#13
24.51.1
23.424.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End3.4
Third
9710
#19
13.51.0
12.513.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 7.1
8889
#30
20.61.1
18.920.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned