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Red77
15520.9
318220.5
55824.5
Blue108
31923.9
19525.2
169936.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708740608010012014077108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#13
24.50.3
24.224.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End3.4
blue by 11.8
36.30.6
33.534.1
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
155
#12
20.90.3
20.720.9
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 4.2
195
#14
25.20.6
22.322.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
3182
#10
20.50.3
20.220.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
blue by 3.4
319
#20
23.90.6
21.121.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2