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Red66
237025.7
49877.7
404833.2
Blue42
500018.3
175720.6
54916.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801001206642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.9
26.727.6
Auto12.0
Teleop17.6
End3.6
red by 12.6
1757
#15
20.60.4
15.615.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.4
Second
2370
#18
25.70.9
19.620.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.4
End1.9
red by 7.4
5000
#14
18.30.4
15.015.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Third
4987
#34
7.70.9
6.27.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End2.3
red by 0.8
5491
#35
6.90.4
6.16.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsEarned