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Red48
216819.0
176834.6
207923.3
Blue104
573532.3
860417.5
19032.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68745060809010011048104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.0
27.726.7
Auto12.5
Teleop21.6
End0.6
red by 2.1
190
#2
32.42.5
26.729.2
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Second
2079
#25
23.31.0
18.417.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End1.5
blue by 9.0
32.32.8
24.227.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Third
2168
#22
19.01.0
16.515.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.1
End0.8
red by 1.5
8604
#16
17.52.5
15.718.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned