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Red65
15720.5
176834.6
15121.0
Blue76
110028.3
910119.9
271216.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745401001506576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.7
27.626.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.6
End0.6
red by 6.3
28.31.7
24.326.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
Second
151
#12
21.00.7
17.917.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End0.8
red by 1.1
9101
#28
19.91.7
18.219.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Third
157
#11
20.50.7
18.617.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End1.8
red by 4.4
2712
#13
16.21.7
8.610.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed