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Red58
53478.6
332318.5
693329.9
Blue77
673122.4
964415.2
176834.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53632040801001205877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
24.424.6
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
blue by 4.7
34.61.4
26.928.3
Auto12.5
Teleop21.6
End0.6
Second
3323
#20
18.50.2
17.017.3
Auto7.9
Teleop8.0
End2.6
blue by 4.0
22.41.4
16.317.7
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Third
5347
#33
8.60.2
7.98.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End0.4
blue by 6.6
9644
#10
15.21.4
12.614.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed