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Red74
6918.9
854416.0
237025.7
Blue60
15720.5
801330.0
49877.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4565020801001207460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#18
25.72.0
20.222.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.4
End1.9
blue by 4.3
30.00.3
27.727.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
Second
69
#24
18.92.0
12.714.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.6
blue by 1.7
157
#11
20.50.3
20.620.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Third
16.02.0
10.512.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
red by 8.4
4987
#34
7.70.3
7.88.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsEarned