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Red53
53478.6
110028.3
596215.5
Blue44
271216.2
175720.6
905610.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801005344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.8
21.121.9
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
red by 7.7
1757
#15
20.60.5
17.618.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.4
Second
5962
#27
15.50.8
12.112.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
blue by 0.7
2712
#13
16.20.5
6.26.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
5347
#33
8.60.8
8.08.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End0.4
blue by 1.5
9056
#32
10.10.5
10.110.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed