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Red82
102710.5
693329.9
673122.4
Blue66
15121.0
573532.3
54916.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556202040801001201408266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.4
24.626.1
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
blue by 2.4
32.30.7
29.029.7
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Second
22.41.4
17.719.1
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 1.4
151
#12
21.00.7
19.219.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End0.8
Third
1027
#30
10.51.4
8.39.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End1.1
red by 3.6
5491
#35
6.90.7
7.38.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed