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Red25
19032.4
320516.9
49877.7
Blue67
332318.5
854416.0
362318.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6651204060801001202567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#2
32.42.2
34.932.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.2
red by 14.0
3323
#20
18.50.6
18.118.7
Auto7.9
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Second
3205
#21
16.92.2
15.313.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End0.5
blue by 1.3
3623
#23
18.20.6
17.317.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
4987
#34
7.72.2
8.15.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End2.3
blue by 8.4
16.00.6
12.613.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned