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Red54
500018.3
776010.7
332318.5
Blue52
102710.5
19032.4
596215.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476302040801001205452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3323
#20
18.50.5
18.719.2
Auto7.9
Teleop8.0
End2.6
blue by 14.0
190
#2
32.40.5
32.732.2
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Second
5000
#14
18.30.5
16.016.5
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End3.9
red by 2.9
5962
#27
15.50.5
12.011.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
Third
7760
#31
10.70.5
9.910.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.3
red by 0.2
1027
#30
10.50.5
10.59.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed