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Red85
207923.3
854416.0
860417.5
Blue72
662013.0
693329.9
110028.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51752040601001201408572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2079
#25
23.31.7
19.521.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End1.5
blue by 6.6
29.90.5
26.927.3
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
Second
8604
#16
17.51.7
16.217.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
blue by 10.8
28.30.5
27.027.5
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
Third
16.01.7
13.214.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
red by 3.0
6620
#29
13.00.5
11.211.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed