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Red68
176834.6
23714.4
860417.5
Blue43
226211.9
673122.4
596215.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724602060801001201406843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.1
29.629.5
Auto12.5
Teleop21.6
End0.6
red by 12.2
22.40.1
21.121.0
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Second
8604
#16
17.50.1
17.917.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 2.0
5962
#27
15.50.1
11.411.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
Third
237
#26
14.40.1
14.814.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
red by 2.6
2262
#36
11.90.1
12.512.3
Auto7.0
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed