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Red69
23714.4
633312.0
673122.4
Blue47
776010.7
237025.7
320516.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34421020305060706947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.42.5
12.214.6
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End2.6
blue by 3.3
2370
#18
25.70.7
21.622.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Second
237
#26
14.42.5
13.015.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 2.5
3205
#21
16.90.7
10.911.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End0.5
Third
6333
#17
12.02.5
6.99.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 1.3
7760
#31
10.70.7
4.85.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed