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Red50
854416.0
216819.0
776010.7
Blue105
693329.9
910119.9
573532.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4291020608010012014050105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#22
19.00.1
18.118.2
Auto4.1
Teleop14.1
End0.8
blue by 13.3
32.31.4
30.131.6
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Second
16.00.1
15.415.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
blue by 13.9
29.91.4
27.929.4
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
Third
7760
#31
10.70.1
10.610.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.3
blue by 9.1
9101
#28
19.91.4
18.419.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed