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Red33
54916.9
226211.9
320516.9
Blue53
53478.6
271216.2
19032.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3565020801001203353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#21
16.90.2
15.315.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End0.5
blue by 15.6
190
#2
32.40.2
31.631.4
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Second
2262
#36
11.90.2
12.312.2
Auto7.0
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 4.3
2712
#13
16.20.2
15.115.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
5491
#35
6.90.2
7.97.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 1.7
5347
#33
8.60.2
8.68.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed