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Red103
404833.2
596215.5
176834.6
Blue67
573532.3
693329.9
216819.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878940608010012014016010367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.5
33.133.6
Auto12.5
Teleop21.6
End0.6
red by 2.3
32.30.3
32.031.7
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Second
33.20.5
31.732.2
Auto12.0
Teleop17.6
End3.6
red by 3.3
29.90.3
29.629.4
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
Third
5962
#27
15.50.5
14.014.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
blue by 3.5
2168
#22
19.00.3
18.718.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.1
End0.8