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Red28
533828.1
58305.1
511512.2
Blue20
25379.7
83628.8
99991.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584702040801002820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.5
28.026.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.2
blue by 0.7
836
#4
28.81.4
28.026.7
Auto11.1
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
5115
#26
12.21.5
13.812.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End1.5
red by 2.5
2537
#25
9.71.4
8.97.6
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Third
5830
#13
5.11.5
8.97.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End1.3
red by 3.6
9999
#27
1.52.3
1.8-0.5
Auto2.6
Teleop-2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed