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Red48
18855.7
25379.7
68620.4
Blue33
171910.2
237719.8
62312.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27510204060801004833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#24
20.41.3
18.119.4
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 0.6
19.80.7
19.318.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End4.7
Second
2537
#25
9.71.3
7.79.0
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 3.2
623
#7
12.90.7
13.412.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
5.71.3
2.53.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End0.1
blue by 4.6
1719
#23
10.20.7
10.59.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned