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Red42
62312.9
219915.8
58305.1
Blue64
374817.6
405016.3
171910.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354902060801004264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#20
15.80.2
15.615.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 1.8
3748
#18
17.60.5
17.317.7
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
623
#7
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 3.4
16.30.5
16.016.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End1.4
Third
5830
#13
5.10.2
4.95.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 5.2
1719
#23
10.20.5
9.910.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6