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Red70
409915.4
25379.7
83628.8
Blue49
374817.6
405016.3
171910.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594501001502002503003504007049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
28.80.4
28.128.5
Auto11.1
Teleop12.5
End5.2
red by 11.2
3748
#18
17.60.0
17.217.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
4099
#16
15.40.4
14.715.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 0.9
16.30.0
16.015.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End1.4
Third
2537
#25
9.70.4
9.09.4
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 0.5
1719
#23
10.20.0
9.99.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6