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Red78
162925.0
86228.9
68620.4
Blue33
533828.1
45058.3
172729.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527801001502007833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
23.523.8
Auto14.5
Teleop10.2
End0.3
blue by 4.1
1727
#19
29.10.8
29.929.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End1.0
Second
686
#24
20.40.3
18.919.2
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 7.7
28.10.8
28.928.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End2.2
Third
8622
#15
8.90.3
8.38.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.0
red by 0.6
4505
#21
8.30.8
9.08.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End0.4