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Red35
62312.9
219915.8
58305.1
Blue37
88822.5
46388.8
18855.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374102060803537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#20
15.80.1
15.815.6
Auto8.1
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 6.7
888
#9
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Second
623
#7
12.90.1
12.912.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End2.7
red by 4.2
4638
#17
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Third
5830
#13
5.10.1
5.04.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 0.6
5.70.0
5.65.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End0.1