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Red81
83624.6
138913.6
172735.7
Blue56
11116.8
88820.6
44936.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70592040801001208156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.9
29.230.1
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
blue by 0.5
449
#2
36.20.1
25.525.5
Auto16.8
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Second
836
#4
24.60.9
17.918.8
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 4.0
888
#10
20.60.1
21.121.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Third
1389
#19
13.60.9
15.015.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
red by 6.8
1111
#27
6.80.1
8.38.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed