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Red39
409922.5
62138.3
77708.0
Blue89
172735.7
907232.7
253711.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338702040601001201403989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#12
22.50.5
17.917.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
blue by 13.2
35.71.1
30.131.3
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
Second
6213
#20
8.30.5
9.38.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 24.4
32.71.1
30.031.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
Third
7770
#15
8.00.5
8.98.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 3.7
2537
#28
11.71.1
11.812.9
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed