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Red45
83624.6
44644.5
86228.8
Blue62
374818.8
29148.7
88820.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30520204060801004562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
24.61.0
19.920.9
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 4.0
888
#10
20.61.2
20.621.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Second
8622
#30
8.81.0
7.98.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 10.0
18.81.2
17.118.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
4464
#33
4.51.0
2.23.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 4.2
2914
#32
8.71.2
6.67.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed