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Red82
450511.7
409922.5
44936.2
Blue57
872618.3
46389.1
374818.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634520801001208257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#2
36.21.5
27.729.2
Auto16.8
Teleop17.2
End2.2
red by 17.3
18.80.6
18.318.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
4099
#12
22.51.5
18.119.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End0.7
red by 4.2
8726
#16
18.30.6
14.915.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Third
4505
#17
11.71.5
8.710.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 2.6
4638
#26
9.10.6
9.610.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed