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Red36
68628.4
11116.8
78863.0
Blue77
88820.6
172735.7
632618.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338502040601001201403677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
28.40.0
28.828.8
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 7.3
35.70.1
32.933.0
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
Second
1111
#27
6.80.0
5.35.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 13.8
888
#10
20.60.1
21.221.3
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Third
7886
#31
3.00.0
1.81.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.1
End1.0
blue by 15.6
18.60.1
16.216.3
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed