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Red57
454121.1
28497.9
88820.6
Blue41
374818.8
171910.4
511515.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555001001502005741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#14
21.10.2
20.820.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
red by 2.2
18.80.6
19.418.7
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
888
#10
20.60.2
20.821.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.1
End1.2
red by 5.1
15.50.6
15.815.2
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
2849
#21
7.90.2
7.77.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
blue by 2.4
1719
#25
10.40.6
10.69.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed