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Red110
29148.7
172735.7
44936.2
Blue74
68628.4
859222.8
86228.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906220408010012014016011074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#2
36.20.7
35.336.0
Auto16.8
Teleop17.2
End2.2
red by 7.8
686
#11
28.40.2
28.328.5
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Second
35.70.7
34.835.5
Auto12.4
Teleop22.3
End1.0
red by 12.9
22.80.2
22.722.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Third
2914
#32
8.70.7
8.08.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 0.1
8622
#30
8.80.2
8.79.0
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2