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Red48
374818.8
138913.6
454121.1
Blue59
61419.5
511515.5
450511.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614902040801001204859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#14
21.10.1
21.221.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End1.4
red by 1.6
614
#13
19.50.3
19.219.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Second
18.80.1
19.018.8
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 3.4
15.50.3
15.115.4
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
1389
#19
13.60.1
13.813.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End2.3
red by 1.9
4505
#17
11.70.3
11.311.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End0.7