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Red59
253711.7
907232.7
83624.6
Blue82
68628.4
859222.8
86228.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826320401001201405982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
33.633.3
Auto14.1
Teleop18.1
End0.5
red by 4.3
686
#11
28.40.3
28.028.3
Auto14.4
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Second
836
#4
24.60.3
25.425.1
Auto12.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 1.8
22.80.3
22.422.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Third
2537
#28
11.70.3
12.612.3
Auto7.7
Teleop2.6
End1.4
red by 2.9
8622
#30
8.80.3
8.58.7
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.2