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Red50
162933.9
77707.2
172727.1
Blue61
68622.5
907225.3
11119.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806020401001201405061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.6
34.433.9
Auto13.9
Teleop18.6
End1.4
red by 8.6
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End0.7
Second
27.10.6
27.727.1
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 4.7
686
#11
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
Third
7770
#28
7.20.6
7.97.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 2.0
1111
#31
9.20.0
9.39.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3