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Red20
17197.8
68622.5
44642.6
Blue28
237715.4
872612.5
11611.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35421020305060702028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
22.51.4
14.212.8
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
red by 7.1
2377
#16
15.41.6
12.310.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Second
1719
#21
7.81.4
10.59.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 4.7
8726
#13
12.51.6
12.210.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
4464
#36
2.61.4
7.66.2
Auto0.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 8.7
116
#17
11.31.6
12.811.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed