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Red37
907225.3
584110.8
14188.8
Blue11
17197.8
78862.5
37939.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352201030405060703711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.8
14.915.7
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 15.8
3793
#32
9.41.4
9.48.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Second
5841
#14
10.80.8
6.27.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End0.5
red by 3.0
1719
#21
7.81.4
8.77.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Third
1418
#22
8.80.8
8.79.5
Auto1.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 6.3
7886
#23
2.51.4
3.42.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed